03 December, 2007

Campaign Blogging

It looks like Huckabee and Obama may both be ahead in Iowa. This makes sense given what people in Iowa are like, though I might have put Edwards above Obama.

Andrew Sullivan writes that Huckabee and Obama may be riding the same wave:

The key is that the old red-blue, right-left boomer paradigm is fading; Obama offers exhausted Republicans a way out: a Democrat they can vote for. Many do not actually like the party they have become, and want to move forward into a less nasty, cramped and vicious direction. That's why Huckabee is rising too.

What do they have in common? Huckabee is a conservative whose character appeals to liberals; Obama is a liberal whose temperament appeals to conservatives. Both represent a deep desire to get past the hideous, nasty polarization of the last few years. Obama doesn't despise conservatives the way Clinton does. Huckabee doesn't repel Democrats the way Giuliani and Romney do.
That's plausible, no?

George Will, conservative extraordinaire, takes Huckabee to task:
On the Republican side, Mike Huckabee's candidacy rests on serial non sequiturs: I am a Christian, therefore I am a conservative, therefore whatever I have done or propose to do with "compassionate," meaning enlarged, government is conservatism. And by the way, anything I denote as a "moral" issue is beyond debate other than by the uncaring forces of greed. ... Many Iowans think it would be wise to nominate a candidate who, when the Republicans were asked during a debate to raise their hands if they do not believe in evolution, raised his. ... Huckabee combines pure moralism with incoherent populism:
As I predicted last night, conservatives who are more conservative than they are Christian don't like Huckabee very much. I guess Will will be voting for Giuliani, so he's crazy in a different way.

A Huckabee-Obama matchup in the general would be fascinating. Paleo-conservatives like Will would be left adrift as would libertarians. On the other hand, Christian populists might vote for a Huckabee that agrees with them on both social and economic issues instead of Obama.

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